Will Pia Cramling win her match against Levy Rozman?
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𝕊404resolved Nov 4
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If the result is tied after the games that are currently planned, and they play tiebreaker games, this will resolve to the result of the tiebreakers; otherwise it resolves NO. (i.e. because tie ≠ win). Also resolves NO if the match doesn't happen, is canceled partway through, or the results aren't publicized by a credible source. (I expect to use chess.com as a source.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ChinmayTheMathGuy Levy hasn't played a FIDE rated blitz or rapid game since before 2020, so those ratings probably aren't going to be super predictive.
I had also put up a market for this - arbitrage opportunity https://manifold.markets/ADings/what-will-be-the-result-of-the-ches