Will Kamala Harris state a flip?
Basic
3
Ṁ25Dec 1
57%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if Kamala Harris, or an official communication channel representing Harris, announces that the result of an election has changed from a previous result, and uses some form of the word "flip" in the announcement. I'll include announcements about regional results as part of a broader election. (i.e. flipping a state in the presidential election).
Otherwise, this resolves no when all federal congressional races and presidential election state results have been called by credible media, or at the end of November, whichever is sooner. (Only the "main" elections count for this-If there are any elections after November 5th, they won't count for this condition)
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Kamala Harris flip a state?
50% chance
Will both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump flip a state?
30% chance
Will Kamala Harris win at least one state won by Donald Trump in 2020?
44% chance
Will Kamala Harris hold a gun before election day?
1% chance
Will Kamala Harris flip a coin?
3% chance
Kamala Harris wins a non-swing Trump state?
23% chance
Will Kamala Harris win all six swing states?
14% chance
Will Kamala Harris win more states than Biden in the election? There are 50 states. Excluding DC and territories.
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US presidential election?
50% chance
Will Kamala Harris flip a state but not win North Carolina?
15% chance