Will Qwen 3.6+ 122B A10B be open weights before July 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ50Jun 30
44%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any model with 110b-130b total params and <20B active params is okay
If the model is called Qwen3.7 or Qwen 4 or some higher version number it also counts
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Weights in largest open-weight AI model before July 2026?
Will the SuperHeavy Booster (re-) fly without refurbishment by EOY 2026?
24% chance
Will I finish my first RC plane by June 2026?
61% chance
Will the Liberty Lifter fly before 2030?
50% chance
When will Qwen-Image-2.0 weights become publicly available?
4/3/27
Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
58% chance
Will a country operate a sixth-generation fighter by EOY 2035?
84% chance
Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
50% chance
Will Haven-1 launch in 2026 or earlier?
2% chance
Will the HappyHorse-1.0 weights become publicly available before EOY 2026?
9% chance