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MANIFOLD
=On which date will Qwen 4 officially launch?
0
Ṁ125
Dec 10
November 10, 2026
50%
Before Nov 9, 2026
50%
Before Nov 10, 2026
50%
Before Nov 11, 2026
50%
Before Nov 12, 2026
50%
Before Nov 13, 2026
  1. This market resolves based on the official release date of the first Qwen 4 model, using Beijing Time (UTC+8).

    A release qualifies when Alibaba/Qwen officially makes at least one model explicitly branded as "Qwen 4" publicly available through an API, web interface, or downloadable model weights.

    Teasers, announcements without public access, research papers, and leaks do not count.

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