
If this market goes below 81% and thus touches 80% even if it is for a short moment, this market will resolve to yes. Otherwise if market stays above 81% or equal to 81% it resolve to no.
Can be resolved after a month to no when nothing happens or if yes then will be resolved faster.
The first 5 minutes of this markets life won't count, since all markets start at 50% that would not be fair otherwise.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,154 | |
| 2 | Ṁ767 | |
| 3 | Ṁ199 | |
| 4 | Ṁ48 | |
| 5 | Ṁ29 |
@RiverCarson No idea why you rate the resolution 1 star, because it did in fact go under 81%. Check the history of the market for yourself. But i put in a screenshot so you can see.
BTW How am i destroying my reputation? It went under 81% and i resolved...


I made that mistake yesterday with https://manifold.markets/NielS/will-this-market-go-below-51?r=UDRkOTY
Was hoping to stay ahead of the curve on this market but didn't realise how the mechanics worked and also lost :/
I didn't expect that buying M500 worth of NO and then immediately selling (in the absence of any orders pretty much) would make me lose most of it
I did the same on this market but lost M7600