Will Carlos Alcaraz win a Grand Slam title in 2023?
Sports•Tennis
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Ṁ480
resolved Jul 16
Resolved
YES

Grand Slam tennis tournaments include the Australian Open, Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and US Open.

Resolves to YES if Carlos Alcaraz wins at least one of the four tournaments in 2023.

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predicted YES
predicted NO

p win none= 0,5544

predicted NO

Wimbledon Men Singles 2023 | Tennis odds | Smarkets betting exchange
US Open Men Singles 2023 | Tennis odds | Smarkets betting exchange

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P(wins none) = [1 - P(wins US Open)] x [1 - P(wins Wimbledon)] = 0.7143 x 0.8148 = 0.582
P(wins at least one) = 1 - P(wins none) = 41.8%


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