Will AAPL hit $200 before hitting $100?
78%
chance

Will resolve YES when AAPL (Nasdaq) closes above $200. Will resolve NO when AAPL (Nasdaq) hits $100.

Close date updated to 2025-01-01 12:59 am

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PatMyron avatar
Pat Myron
deagol avatar
Daniel Tellobought Ṁ20 of YES

Resolution criteria in description doesn’t mention anything about hitting $100 to resolve NO. Given that description, title should be “Will AAPL hit $200 by end of 2024.”

deagol avatar
Daniel Tellois predicting YES at 69%

ok made my own

deagol avatar
Daniel Tellois predicting YES at 69%
NiclasKupper avatar
Niclas Kupperis predicting YES at 75%

@deagol I updated the description... My bad for being imprecise

ShakedKoplewitz avatar
Shaked Koplewitz

Calls at 200 (for eoy) are 3.47, puts at 100 are 2.20. this isn't a precise approximation for several reasons, but basing a ballpark on this, seems like it should be closer to 2:1 than 5:1 odds

SkepticIC avatar
SkepticICis predicting NO at 76%
NiclasKupper avatar
Niclas Kupperbought Ṁ15 of YES
ManifoldDream avatar
Manifold in the WildBot

Will AAPL hit $200 before hitting $100?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition