Will AAPL hit $200 before hitting $100?
101
1.4K
1.9K
Dec 31
90%
chance

Will resolve YES when AAPL (Nasdaq) closes above $200. Will resolve NO when AAPL (Nasdaq) hits $100.

Close date updated to 2025-01-01 12:59 am

Get Ṁ200 play money
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bought Ṁ50 of NO

sold Ṁ30 of NO
predicts YES
predicts NO

after the first misstep, maybe a wider range is better

/deagol/will-apple-stock-aapl-fully-break-2-95d2bdcc6c94

predicts NO
bought Ṁ20 of YES

Resolution criteria in description doesn’t mention anything about hitting $100 to resolve NO. Given that description, title should be “Will AAPL hit $200 by end of 2024.”

predicts YES

ok made my own

predicts YES
predicts YES

@deagol I updated the description... My bad for being imprecise

sold Ṁ0 of YES

@nic_kup will you extend or NA if neither happens this year? thanks

Calls at 200 (for eoy) are 3.47, puts at 100 are 2.20. this isn't a precise approximation for several reasons, but basing a ballpark on this, seems like it should be closer to 2:1 than 5:1 odds

predicts NO
bought Ṁ15 of YES

Will AAPL hit $200 before hitting $100?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition