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Can be resolved to NO, @NickelChen

@firstuserhere Looks like the creator is no longer active. I summon the Trustworthy users to resolve this market

Edit: forgot to actually ping. @Eliza?

Since he's dead, he's not going to be arrested

50%+ seems to dramatically underweight the chance that he's killed without arrest IMO

Stolen from the coup market @KongoLandwalker

what it will end with? Prigozhin dies 36%, Prigozhin arrested 23%, civil war starts 28%, Prigozhin achieves what he wants 12%

I feel this should be significantly lower than this other market:

@PS He might be arrested by non Russian actors. Or he might stop being pro regime I guess.

@NickelChen Possible, but seems highly unlikely to me. I'd say the best reason for a small difference between the two markets is Prigozhin being the most likely person within the Russian elite to be arrested...