Will Yevgeny Prigozhin be arrested during 2023?
Dec 31
17%
chance

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PS avatar
PSbought Ṁ10 of NO

I feel this should be significantly lower than this other market:

NickelChen avatar
Nick el Chen

@PS He might be arrested by non Russian actors. Or he might stop being pro regime I guess.

PS avatar
PSis predicting NO at 50%

@NickelChen Possible, but seems highly unlikely to me. I'd say the best reason for a small difference between the two markets is Prigozhin being the most likely person within the Russian elite to be arrested...