
Will the US economy grow in 2023?
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2.3kṀ120kresolved Jan 28
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Real GDP, according to BEA advance estimate in Jan '24.
Closing date/time is estimated, and will update to reflect the scheduled data release time.
https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@sylv Q4 GDP numbers come out on the 25th of this month. It is possible although exceedingly unlikely that there is a massive negative growth print. You can check my markets to see what predictions for it are like(here’s a sample)
@YonatanCale no worries. The "real GDP" aspect requires that the growth rate has to be higher than the inflation rate to count, so sufficiently high inflation could cause this to resolve no.
Another path would be a severe recession or depression or whatever the euphemism will be for the next big one.