Will Kamala Harris be president of the United States before the end of January 2029?
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2029
50%
chance

This question resolves to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is sworn in as president at any time before February 1, 2029.

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Will this resolve yes if she is sworn in as "Acting President" under the 25th Amendment?

predicts YES

@TobiasPace is one sworn in under the 25th amendment?

@MP I don't think an oath is required, but I assume one would take place anyway if Biden were to be incapacitated for a long period. The 25th amendment has been used for very brief periods when a President is placed under anesthesia, and there was no oath taken, although the Acting President has never taken any official actions in any of those cases.

@TobiasPace I don't think that should count. It's right in the name, she would be "acting president", not the actual president. We never count people who have been acting presidents in the list of U.S. presidents, nor are they included in the numbering.

predicts YES

@TobiasPace the description requires Kamala to be sworn in.

predicts YES

@MP correct.

A YES resolution here would probably also mean she is the correct answer to this market

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