Will Jenner and Chalamet break up before 2026?
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This market is set to close in one day. Over what timespan does the question resolve, their lifespans? Is it only a YES if one of them dies before they ever split up?

@cherrvak I just want to get a feeling of how this app work and polymarket

@NibezaKevin No worries, I didn’t mean to give you a hard time, just clarify the resolution criteria before casting my bid in.

@cherrvak want to help me out , I am a software engineer and I see manifold as something revolutionary, I can see that the bets bed here despite the small audience have almost the same predictions as big sites as polymarket + it is open source with MIT license, I think I am about to make the world's greatest experiment predicting the future still new to how all this works tho so I am learning as I go

@NibezaKevin Sure thing. Some general Manifold tips related to improving this market specifically:

Since Manifold markets are resolved by the market creator, traders prefer to bet on markets with unambiguous and objective resolution criteria. This market has a few points of ambiguity:

- As AlexanderThe points out below, Kylie Jenner is currently dating Timothee Chalamet, not his sister Pauline. So I as a trader am unsure whether the title is a typo and you meant to ask about Timothee, or whether you're asking if Kylie will ever dump Timothee, get with his sister and them break up with her too. Currently there aren't any holders in this market except for you and one bot, so you can edit the title without making anyone mad because they bet on it under different assumed criteria.

- The market currently closes on March 5, which is tomorrow. This means that no one will be able to trade after a day from now. It could be that you intentionally wanted to give people only one day to trade, but most markets about ongoing celebrity relationships tend to close on the order of weeks to years. This way they have more time to acquire traders and liquidity, and also allows the probability to update based on ongoing news.

- This market doesn't specify a time span under consideration. Traders prefer to bet on timeboxed questions to have a better sense of when they can get their mana out of the market: as is, it seems like you're asking "will Kyle and Chalamet ever break up in their entire lives?"

Here's how I would edit this market:

- Edit the title to ask about Timothee Chalamet, or edit the description to specify that you really are asking about Kylie dating and then breaking up with Pauline Chalamet if that's your intent

- Edit the title or description to specify a resolution date, i.e a title like "Will Jenner and Chalamet break up before 2026?" or a description like "This market resolves YES if Jenner or Chalamet announce a breakup before 2030, as reported by a major news website."

- Extend the closing date to reflect the new stated resolution date.

I hope this is helpful, let me know if any points were unclear. And welcome to Manifold :3

@cherrvak very helpful, I see it now, do you think it would be alright to use the source code and make it like polymarket ?

@NibezaKevin Feel free to fork the code and do with it what you'd like!

@NibezaKevin I edited the title for you, I'd suggest adding a close time to the title and edit the close date as well

@ian in case no one told you today Ian, you are really cool

@ian at the end of the day I am a programmer, so let me know if you need help revamping the UI or work on the backend

Is truss supposed to be about Pauline's brother?

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