It is often said an event will not occur before pigs fly, let us determine when exactly that will be.

Resolves to 2200 if answer is >= 2200

Resolution criteria: My subjective judgement of when the first year a pig (singular) is flies.

I will be likely to resolve yes if:

• The pig flies for >= 5 seconds,

• The pig is actually generating an upwards force and not simply being dropped from a plane,

• There are credible reports of a pig flying,

• The pig has a jetpack strapped to it and the pig is able to control its flight.

• The pig/ the lowest point of the enclosure it is in is more than 3m above the ground

Things that are likely to not count:

• A pig being dropped from a plane

• A pig with a jetpack strapped onto it that it cannot control.

• A pig in a hovercraft.

I may change the two above lists at any time, especially during the first week of this market.