Will Reform win the next UK election?

2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will UK aid be at or above the 0.6% of GNI by the end of the Parliament?

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

In the UK, will the tax burden on any decile increase by more than 1pp against what was expected, before the next election?

Will the UK give Ukraine more than $10Bn (in cash, not including imports) before the next election?

Will the UK increase the personal income tax rate before 2026?

Will the UK Government have spent more than £50 Bn (inflation-adjusted from sep 22) capping electricity bills by the next election?

There will be significant above trend public spending in the UK before 2026

Will the UK Government raise corporation tax by more than 1pp compared to expected levels before the next election? (Including by stealth raises)

Will the UK's Ease Of Doing Business score rise above 83.8 before the next UK General Election?