This resolves "Yes" if I am the instigator or conspirator in a significant scandal of any kind (eg fraud, bullying, harassment, whatever) . I'll resolve yes if I am convinced. If you don't trust me to resolve right, then make your own market.
Also I actively encourage anyone who thinks they have bad information about me to trade on this market and discuss with others. But please attempt to be accurate.
I feel that if you make scandal markets you should add your own name to the list
Feb 28, 4:03pm: Will I be responsible for any scandal by 2024? → Will Nathan Young (me) be responsible for any scandal by 2024?
Also if you think I have done something bad, feel free to write it here and I'll tell you whether I think it meets the criteria. I think I have done things I regret that I wouldn't call scandalous.
@NathanpmYoung Just imagine if any of the many people that claim to have predicted SBF might a bad actor would have made a large anonymous prediction...
Maybe most would write it off, but at least the signal would be there.
@NathanpmYoung Also - I'm not sure if you can 'transfer' market ownership, but if so you might consider doing so here. I would not be very incentivized to bet yes on this market knowing that you are the creator.
Happy to create one if there's no way to transfer.
@CarsonGale Feel free to create one. Though I think if everyone thought I should resolve yes and I resolved no then that would be pretty disastrous for me regardless.
Will I be credibly accused of any scandal by 2024?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition