5 currently elected top level Republican politicians will make race and IQ talking points before July 2026
15
Ṁ140Ṁ622Jul 1
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The speakers must be:
Currently in the House or Senate, VP or President
Currently elected at the time of their comments
They must make comments about the difference in average IQ between races. Similar comments won't be accepted, nor will any other variety of near miss.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Race-IQ stuff is in an uncanny valley for Republicans where it's electoral poison in a time of racial depolarization, but it's not really edgy enough to be fun for groyper staffers. For now, 5 would really surprise me.
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Republican primary for president?
US public opinion, 2026: Should racists be allowed to speak?
46% chance
Who will be major candidates in the 2028 Republican primaries?
Will a Republican congressperson be identified as a white nationalist by 2030?
70% chance
When will a Republican next be elected President of the United States
Will an "effectively permanent Republican trifecta" exist after the 2024 elections? [up to the year 2050]
13% chance
Will there be a non-white Republican Nominee before the end of 2032?
28% chance
Will a "Republican trifecta" without any breaks [up to at least 2035] exist after the 2024 elections?
15% chance