Will a non-human primate be the first species we uplift?
12
64
270
2041
48%
chance

Resolution details will be the same as discussed on this market:

See also discussion there about my take on relative pros and cons of Koi vs Octopuses vs Mammals.

Note: Subsidized with intent to provoke betting and discussion.

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predicts YES

If you add this to the monke group, you can make Levi give you 100 free mana.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Not sure why this is lower than 50%. If we ever uplift any species, I would expect it to almost certainly be another primate. Uplifting a non-primate species means trying to give human-level intelligence to something that's totally different from humans. You wouldn't be able to just give them a brain structured like a human's and expect it to work.

@JosephNoonan I think it makes more sense to give human-level intelligence to something that's not a primate, because we already have humans. Also, there are lots of non-primate mammals available.

predicts YES

@MartinRandall I don't really get the first sentence, unless what you meant to say was "not similar to humans". I agree that that would make the most sense as an eventual goal, but I don't think we would jump from being unable to uplift anything at all to uplifting something that's very different from a human. Primates seem like the obvious first step.

predicts NO

@JosephNoonan A month later and I can edit my post. Sorry for the typo.

predicts YES

@MartinRandall Now there's a (minor) typo in this comment as well

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