Election Derivatives: What will Trump's Manifold odds be the day before the election?
2
Ṁ515Ṁ395resolved Mar 10
Resolved
N/A>70%
Resolved
N/A40-44.9%
Resolved
N/A49-50.9%
Resolved
N/A55-59.9%
Resolved
N/A45-48.9%
Resolved
N/A51-54.9%
Resolved
N/A35-39.9%
Resolved
N/A<30%
Resolved
N/A65-69.9%
Resolved
N/A30-34.9%
Resolved
N/A60-64.9%
This derivatives market will be evaluated by the average price of the Donald Trump yes over the 24 hours from 12:00am to 11:59pm on November 4, 2024, eastern time, of the 2024 US Presidential Election candidate market on Manifold created by @Jack.
If that market is removed or otherwise broken, an equivalent market at the top of the US Politics page will be used, or another market I announce.
Daily average is used to increase the cost of market manipulation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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