The all time high of bitcoin, and the max of the last bull market, was achieved Nov 10, 2021, at 2:24pm utc.
This seeks to ask if the cycle will continue according to a simple definition, asking if there will be a new peak be about four years after this.
Specifically, according to coinmarketcap.com will the intraday high of bitcoin between Nov 10, 2023
and November 10, 2027 (at 2:24pm utc) occur within 6 months of the four-year anniversary of the previous peak on Nov 10, 2025?
Note it is not required for this question that this peak exceeds the previous all time high.
Update 2025-12-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Within 6 months" means ±6 months (either side of the November 10, 2025 anniversary), creating a one-year window from May 10, 2025 to May 10, 2026. The cutoff times for this window are also at 2:24pm UTC. The current ATH (occurring about a month before the anniversary) counts if not surpassed.
1,000Specifically, according to coinmarketcap.com will the intraday high of bitcoin between Nov 10, 2023
and November 10, 2027 (at 2:24pm utc) occur within 6 months of the four-year anniversary of the previous peak on Nov 10, 2025?
Can you confirm if "within 6 months" means ±6 months (a year-long period) rather than "within the six months prior" or "within the six months following" the anniversary? And would that May 10, 2026 cutoff also happen at 2:24pm utc? Thanks!
Note the ATH (for now) occurred about a month before the anniversary.
@deagol Yes, within six months of counts on either side ("about four years" strongly suggests this I think) , so the current ATH counts if not surpassed. The cutoff for this window is also at 2:24pm UTC.