Will Trump or Elon acknowledge the Trumpets of Patriots before the 2025 Australian election?
3
1kṀ300
May 17
59%
chance

Background

The Trumpets of Patriots is a new political party launched by Australian billionaire Clive Palmer. The party is inspired by Donald Trump's policies and aims to emulate his political style in Australian politics. Palmer has been a vocal supporter of Trump and previously founded the United Australia Party which had 9 elected MPs at its peak (across the Federal and State govts). The UAP spent over $120 million on the last federal election, more than any other party, but is now deregistered.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve as YES if either Donald Trump or Elon Musk publicly acknowledges the existence of the Trumpets of Patriots party before the 2025 Australian federal election (which is yet to be called but must occur on or before the 17th of May)

Public acknowledgment includes:

  • Direct mentions in speeches, interviews, or press conferences

  • Posts or comments on social media platforms (including X/Twitter, Truth Social, etc.)

  • Official statements or press releases

  • Recorded video or audio messages

The acknowledgment must clearly reference the "Trumpets of Patriots" party or Clive Palmer's new Trump-inspired political movement in Australia.

The market will resolve as NO if neither Trump nor Musk makes any such acknowledgment before the end of election day.

I've used the AI generated criteria for now though I reserve the right to make changes to it for the next few days (I'll remove this clause when I'm happy with the criteria)

Please ask for clarification on anything that's unclear

I will not bet in this market in case the resolution is unclear

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules