Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if Elon Musk posts at least one original post or repost to his X account (@elonmusk) during March 2026. This includes text posts, images, videos, replies, and reposts/retweets. The post must be publicly visible on X. Resolution will be verified by checking his public X profile at https://x.com/elonmusk.

Background

Musk posted on X around 40 days before his fraud trial against OpenAI begins, demonstrating continued platform activity in March 2026. In January 2026, Musk wrote about threats to the "white race" on 26 out of 31 days, indicating consistent posting patterns. Musk owns X and remains an active user of the platform.

Considerations

Given Musk's ownership of X and his demonstrated high posting frequency throughout 2026, the probability of at least one post during March is extremely high. The question resolves based on any public activity, not quality or type of content.

This description was generated by AI.