Yes

No

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if, by the conclusion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (scheduled to end on July 19, 2026), Kylian Mbappé’s total career FIFA World Cup goals strictly exceed Lionel Messi’s total career FIFA World Cup goals.

If Lionel Messi’s career World Cup goal tally remains higher than or equal to Kylian Mbappé’s tally at the end of the tournament, this market will resolve to NO.

Specific Rules:

• Official Source: Resolution will be based on official player statistics published by FIFA. In the event of disputes or delay in FIFA's official updates, consensus from major sports databases (such as ESPN, Opta, or FBref) will be used.

• Eligible Goals: Only goals scored during active play in the main World Cup tournament (including group stage, knockout stages, regular time, and extra time) count toward the players' totals. Goals scored during penalty shootouts do not count.

• Active Record: Because both players are active in the 2026 tournament, any goals Messi scores during this tournament will raise the threshold Mbappé needs to reach to break the record.

Background

During the group stages of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, Lionel Messi became the all-time leading goalscorer in World Cup history. Following his goals against Algeria and Austria, Messi’s career World Cup goal tally stands at 18 goals.

Kylian Mbappé is rapidly closing in on the record. Following his brace against Iraq on June 22, 2026, Mbappé reached 16 career World Cup goals, tying him for second all-time with Miroslav Klose and leaving him just two goals behind Messi’s active record. This market tracks whether the 27-year-old French forward will claim the top spot for himself before the 2026 tournament concludes.

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