At the end of each week, I will decide whether or not to resolve yes based on the market probability divided by 2, and a no will have a probability of 1/5th of the market no. Otherwise, the market will be delayed. Determined by a random dice roll.

Example:

Week 1 - 50%

25% chance yes, 10% chance no, otherwise continue.

Week 2 - 60%

30% chance yes, 8% chance no, otherwise continue

Chance of No has a minimum of 5%

Ask me any questions!