@SimonGrayson is hosting markets which ask if the market will have a certain ammount of unique predictors until the market close. Up until now all markets have resolved to yes. If all markets up until 50 (included) unique predictors resolve to yes, this market will resolve to yes, otherwise this market will resolve to no. If applies, this market will close after the market with 49 unique predictors opens
Current iteration of the unique predictor market:
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ661 | |
| 2 | Ṁ207 | |
| 3 | Ṁ55 | |
| 4 | Ṁ51 | |
| 5 | Ṁ39 |
People are also trading
Congrats @BrunoUrsino for the wise early bet, you have made quite a profit :D I see the gamma functions have paid off.
@ScipioFabius thank you 😃 it was quite a fun game, I didn't expect to see the results before the market for about 40 predictors 🤔 very interesting the final rush on the primary market, it really held me on pins and needles
Given how we've already been stalling in the high 20s and for number 30, I'm, starting to think that hitting 50 might be rather difficult!
@SimonGrayson 50 is quite a stretch, however I feel like there has been established a group of people that are "guaranteed participants" so the question reduces to weather the market can continue to attract new ones. On top of that I feel like there is a substantial group of people watching the end of market, so more trader volume to be found there.
@SimonGrayson That said, it could also be the case that we might see the breakdown right around 50, due to all the people that have bet on "No" here not participating to protect their position.
@SimonGrayson you were right. Surprised to see there wasnt anyone to jump in the last minute and grab the sweet profit :D
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?