Shawn Ryan had a podcast with a man who received an email on Proton Mail allegedly from Las Vegas Cybertruck bomber Matthew Livelsberger.
The email has been all over the internet since the podcast came out Jan 3rd.
The FBI has confirmed that the email might be real...
On the other hand a well know Green Beret with a big media channel is questioning its authenticity.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WAU0yNYEJbw
Let's bet on if this will ultimately resolved as authentic, or not.
Resolution can be tricky. So if you have a problem with that, don't bet this market.
The market will resolve NO if
it is clear that the letter was fake -- according to FBI, media, and general consensus
Matthew Livelsberger is found alive, gives a different explanation, etc
The market will resolve YES if
the letter is confirmed accurate by FBI and other sources
if dispute that it is real is minimal or fringe
We will resolve N/A if this is truly unclear after a substantial amount of time. Currently set at April 1st but we may extend if that makes sense. We will not leave this market open for a year.
The intent to reach a time when there is strong consensus one way or the other, and resolve the market as soon as that happens.
I may be betting this market.
I would like to make this the top market for discussion and interest in this fascinating case. If you want to argue about rule definitions or conflicts of interest, just stay away.
1,000