Will Donald Trump flip Miami-Dade county in 2024?
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31
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resolved Nov 6
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YES

This market will resolve to yes if Donald Trump wins Miami-Dade county in the state of Florida in 2024.

I will primarily use the NYT results to resolve this although I will wait for certification if the result is extremely close.

In 2020 Joe Biden carried Miami-Dade county by just 7 points, a far cry from Clinton’s near 30 point margin just 4 years earlier. Miami-Dade went on to vote for both Marco Rubio and Ron DeSantis in 2022. Can Trump become the first Republican to win the county on the presidential level for the first time in 36 years?

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One of the easiest wins of my win streak tonight

@Manifold Resolves YES.

sold Ṁ192 NO

Trump +8.6 with 77.1% reporting. Outstanding votes are disproportionately mail-in but I don't think that will be enough

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