Has the left gone too far: Will Chud Logic beat Leo?

1.1K

Ṁ22K

Ṁ336

resolved Nov 6

Resolved

YES

ALL

Chud Logic and Leo will be debating live as part of DEBATECON 4 in Dallas, TX on Sunday, November 5th.

This market resolves to the winner of the debate as determined by a live vote of the in-person attendees.

The vote will be conducted as follows: Before the debate, the audience will be polled to see what percentage favor "the left has gone too far" (Chud's position) over "the left has NOT gone too far" (Leo's position). After the debate, the same poll will be conducted again. The winner of the debate is whoever can shift the intial percentage in their favor.

Get in-person tickets to DEBATECON 4 in DALLAS, TX on Sunday, November 5th:

https://www.eventcreate.com/e/debatecon4

Or watch the event live from afar: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zArFdNsQt0E

This event is hosted by Modern-Day Debate (MDD). Our vision is to provide a neutral debate platform so everyone has their fair shot to make their case on a level playing field.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ557
2		Ṁ481
3		Ṁ265
4		Ṁ241
5		Ṁ176

13 Comments

76 Holders

503 Trades

Sort by:

bought Ṁ10 of NO

I am betting "NO" entirely because of the format.

I assume the people who will vote that the left hasn't gone too far are entrenched and are unlikely to change their position.

predicted NO

Completely incorrect, but a lot of people left :(

predicted YES

@jstlk LMAO

predicted YES

@jstlk copying ur strat in the next one tho i htink youre onto something the format makes it a dice roll

predicted YES

WHOMEGALUL PIKER

bought Ṁ100 of NO

Chud lost to diglett

sold Ṁ12 of NO

Next event, the organizers should have a practice debate over discord a week before so the organizer can coach the participants on how to engage with each other's arguments! Not actually kidding, provided the participants are willing to work with you I think it'd help a lot.

bought Ṁ5 of NO

I have no idea what is happening. Hopefully I can make money off this as a market maker.

bought Ṁ50 of YES

They should set the graph into the 1 day view and zoom in so we can see the movements.

predicted YES

what do you think? vote: https://manifold.markets/jacksonpolack/has-the-left-gone-too-far-on-social

Is this vulnerable to a hashtag campaign before the debate? If team blue want team red to lose, they all initially lie that they are for the opposing position, then switch at the end to increase the "persuaded by" score? Would that work?