Will Meta’s stock split before 2026?
2
100Ṁ80
2026
24%
chance

Background

Meta Platforms (formerly Facebook) has never split its stock since going public in 2012. The company's share price has risen significantly in recent years, currently trading greater than $600 per share. Stock splits are typically considered when companies believe their share price has become too high for retail investors, though they don't change the fundamental value of the company.

Several major tech companies have enacted stock splits in recent years when their share prices reached relatively high price levels:

  • Apple split 4-for-1 in 2020

  • Tesla split 3-for-1 in 2022

  • Nvidia split 10-for-1 in 2023

  • Amazon split 20-for-1 in 2022

Meta's strong business performance, particularly in AI and digital advertising, has driven its stock price higher, potentially making a split more likely if this trend continues.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) officially announces and implements a stock split of any ratio before January 1, 2026.

The market resolves to NO if:

  • Meta does not announce a stock split by December 31, 2025

  • Meta announces a stock split but cancels it before implementation

  • Meta announces a stock split in 2025 but schedules the actual split to occur after December 31, 2025

Considerations

The decision to split stock ultimately rests with Meta's board of directors and CEO Mark Zuckerberg, who maintains controlling interest in the company. While rising share prices often trigger splits, some companies (like Berkshire Hathaway) have historically chosen not to split despite extremely high share prices.

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