Resolves YES if an eligible auction market is created on Manifold markets in 2024. NO otherwise.

Qualifications to be an eligible auction:

• Minimum trading volume of 1 million mana.

• Minimum 500 traders. More if alts are suspected.

• Must be bigger in volume and traders than any of Aella's markets.

• An individual person must lose at least M200,000 desperately simping for me, getting nothing in return. (Real losses only! No trading fake losses with your friends.) Ideally multiple such individuals, but only 1 is required.

• Auction administrators must elevate the name of @Mira above any other items for sale.

• manifold.love or other Manifold products can be acceptable platforms to host such an auction.

• Auction must be created in 2024, though it can extend into 2025 as necessary.

• @Mira 's virginity must be among the items for sale at the auction.

• If censored by admins(unlisted, etc.), it must be called by the participants an Underground Auction and publicly talked about as such.

• Exact market design is not specified, though one example might start with a linked multi-binary free response(so people can add their names) with anti-snipe protections.

I make no commitment to participate at this time, but I would definitely not honor a winning bid in an auction that does not meet all of these requirements.

Also, it is important for my safety to gauge my risk of being sold off at suspicious auctions in 2024 so I am asking expert forecasters about the probabilities and base rates of such a thing happening.