
https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/
"Clock moves forward/backward" should be unambiguous. In the unlikely event it's exactly the same, resolves 50% "Clock moves backward" and 50% across both "Clock moves forward" options proportional to the resolving weight of "AI is cause".
"AI is cause" resolves:
25% if "AI" or "Artificial intelligence" get even a slight mention.
50% if mass job loss, dependency on AI and loss of human control over economic infrastructure, or autonomous AI war drones are mentioned. Remotely-operated war drones don't count.
75% if the possibility of a monopoly AI company/government dictatorship is mentioned(weak "S-risk").
YES if AI extinction risk is mentioned("X-risk"), or of an AI tormenting humanity as a terminal goal("S-risk").
If multiple causes are mentioned, resolves to the maximum severity rating.
If they mention something else, I'll try to match it to these categories. You can ask in the comments ahead of time.
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