Will OpenAI's Jukebox 2 be released? (2023)
14
290Ṁ3366resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a successor to OpenAI's Jukebox (openai.com) is released before market close. Otherwise NO. This market does not resolve NA or PROB.
"Jukebox 2" is any autoencoder and transformer-based audio generation model that generates raw audio(as opposed to MIDI), can generate at least rudimentary approximations to singing; or that is explicitly named "Jukebox 2".
Also see the 2024 variant:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ141 | |
| 2 | Ṁ8 | |
| 3 | Ṁ7 | |
| 4 | Ṁ6 | |
| 5 | Ṁ5 |
Sort by:
They've had it in internal Slack for a year now, but can't release because of copyright. You can imagine NYT vs. OpenAI gets 100x worse if the RIAA gets involved.
Maybe the play is for a startup to do it and get sued so they have nothing to lose, and then once precedent is established the big players can roll theirs out.