Will OpenAI's Jukebox 2 be released? (2023)
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Ṁ290Ṁ3.4kresolved Jan 1
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Resolves YES if a successor to OpenAI's Jukebox (openai.com) is released before market close. Otherwise NO. This market does not resolve NA or PROB.
"Jukebox 2" is any autoencoder and transformer-based audio generation model that generates raw audio(as opposed to MIDI), can generate at least rudimentary approximations to singing; or that is explicitly named "Jukebox 2".
Also see the 2024 variant:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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They've had it in internal Slack for a year now, but can't release because of copyright. You can imagine NYT vs. OpenAI gets 100x worse if the RIAA gets involved.
Maybe the play is for a startup to do it and get sued so they have nothing to lose, and then once precedent is established the big players can roll theirs out.
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