This is part of a series of markets about things I could do in 2024. See: /Mira/which-of-mira-s-cool-ideas-will-mir
Summary
This is sort of a non-idea in the realm of cool ideas. It's here for baseline comparison with the other options. It's about getting a full-time job at any company anywhere.
Contract work won't count, but full-time work legally recorded as contract work could. My last job was $350k/year.
Market Mechanics
Trigger condition: If there is even 1 day that I am working full-time, it will count. I would expect to stay the full year, but if I'm fired the day after joining it will still count.
Resolves NA if the trigger condition is not met. Otherwise, resolves to the logarithmic interpolation between nearest bounding answers(or to $1 if I start this but don't make any positive profit for the entire year). Units are "profit in USD". I'll add new options at multiples of 10 as needed before resolving.
Example: I make $500 in annual profit. The nearest options are $100 and $1000. Then this market resolves (ln(500) - ln(100)) / (ln(1000) - ln(100)) = 70% $1000 and 30% 100.
"Profit" is my total compensation. If it's a private company and part of my compensation is equity, I will use the 409A valuation if I'm allowed to indirectly reveal it. If I'm not allowed to, I'll use the most recent publicly mentioned valuation. If no valuation at all is available, I'll value it at $0.
Mira will not trade on this market(or will market sell if I accidentally do).
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ18 | |
2 | Ṁ17 | |
3 | Ṁ17 | |
4 | Ṁ12 | |
5 | Ṁ9 |