If @Mira builds cryptocurrency smart contract auditing software, how much money will I make? (2024)
2
32
360
resolved Apr 24
ResolvedN/A
12%
$1
4%
$100
5%
$1,000
20%
$10,000
22%
$100,000
10%
$1,000,000
13%
Other
13%Other

This is part of a series of markets about things I could do in 2024. See: /Mira/which-of-mira-s-cool-ideas-will-mir

Summary

Every couple years there's a new headline about a smart contract getting hacked and losing $100 million.

What if I write some software to stea-, I mean, audit smart contracts for bugs? They would surely pay lots of money through an officially-approved bug bounty program.

Ethereum was really popular for this back in 2017 or so. It's probably saturated with tools by now though... so I'd have to find whatever the hot new smart contract language is that's constantly getting hacked and build something for them.

Market Mechanics

Trigger condition: Deploying any application website to a domain name. Planning, writing prototype code, a static placeholder website, etc. will not be sufficient as minimal effort for this market.

Resolves NA if the trigger condition is not met. Otherwise, resolves to the logarithmic interpolation between nearest bounding answers(or to 1 if I start this but literally nobody else uses it). Units are "number of separate accounts". I'll add new options at multiples of 10 as needed before resolving.

Example: 500 people sign up. The nearest options are 100 and 1000. Then this market resolves (ln(500) - ln(100)) / (ln(1000) - ln(100)) = 70% 1000 and 30% 100.

Mira will not trade on this market(or will market sell if I accidentally do).

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Canceling a bunch of low-volume personal markets due to the pivot.