MANIFOLD
How many drug connected shootings will occur in 2025 in Brussels
5
Ṁ150Ṁ157
Jan 1
10%
10
10%
15
20%
20
20%
25
18%
30
20%
35
20%
40
20%
45
20%
50
57%
over 50

  • Update 2025-02-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution Method: The market will resolve to the option whose number is closest to the actual count of drug connected shootings.

    • Mutually Exclusive Options: Only the nearest option is considered correct, meaning if the closest option is selected then all other options are incorrect.

Market context
Europe
Health
European Union
Drug Policy
Violence
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bought Ṁ10 YES

https://www.moustique.be/notre-epoque/nos-explications/2025/12/23/97-fusillades-en-2025-a-bruxelles-chaque-personne-qui-circule-a-bruxelles-peut-prendre-une-balle-perdue-3ZGC6JZLYNE3VD7PDHJ5J666NI/

I assume these options mutually exclusive? And that this market resolves to the closest number? So if there were 23 shootings, it would resolve 25 to YES and all the others to NO.

@spiderduckpig Yes, exactly :)

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