Will the Bay Area transit funding measure pass in November

Question

SB63 / https://connectbayarea.com/

Funding for BART, Muni, AC Transit, SamTrans, VTA, Caltrain, SF Bay Ferry, Golden Gate Transit

Resolves YES if the measure passes in the election.

Resolves NO if the measure does not gather enough signatures to be on the ballot, fails to pass, or is invalidated before the election results.

Related: will the measure make it onto the ballot: https://manifold.markets/EmilAbraham/will-we-see-the-transit-funding-ini

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 66% chance (5 traders, as of Mar 20, 2026).

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