Will HKU5-CoV-2 reach 100 confirmed human cases in the US by EOY2025?
2
1kṀ1752026
12%
chance
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1M
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Background
HKU5-CoV-2 is a newly discovered bat coronavirus identified by Chinese scientists that has demonstrated the ability to bind to human ACE2 receptors, similar to SARS-CoV-2. Currently, there are no reported human cases of HKU5-CoV-2.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if there are 100 or more confirmed human cases of HKU5-CoV-2 reported by credible health organizations (WHO, CDC, or equivalent national health authorities, if there is clear ballpark consensus) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The market will resolve NO if fewer than 100 confirmed cases are reported by this deadline.
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