MANIFOLD
What will be the average % of the next 5 Yes/No markets when this market closes?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ117
resolved Jan 11
Resolved as
23%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the average (mean) of the % shown for the first 5 binary (Yes/No) Manifold markets created by anyone after this one. When this market closes, I will evaluate them manually by checking the value of each at the minute that this market closed. This market will then resolve to that percent. (e.g, if the mean % of the next 5 markets is 15%, this market will resolve to 15%.) Markets that resolve as N/A will not be counted and the next valid market will be used instead.

Currently, these 5 markets are:

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(31 + 26 + 17 + 17 + 23) / 5 = 22.8, rounds up to 23%

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