Resolves NO if the series finishes adapting the book series up to and including the Deathly Hallows. Otherwise, resolves YES if a cancellation is officially announced, or if more than 2 years have passed since the last part with no release in sight.
Update 2026-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the series diverges from the books but finishes on its own terms:
If it feels rushed, resolves YES
If it feels well-paced and covers a roughly equivalent length of events, resolves NO
If particularly close, trader consensus will be sought; if no reasonable consensus, resolves N/A
1,000@asmith Does this seem reasonable:
If it finishes in a way where it seems like they started rushing things along heavily, YES.
If it feels well paced and covers a roughly equivalent length of events, NO.
If it's particularly close, ask traders, and if reasonable consensus can't be reached, N/A
See also https://manifold.markets/TylerMurphy/what-will-be-true-of-the-new-harry-CqQO9zp2nq
there's an option for whether the series covers all 7 books