For context, WEPO is a selective study abroad program run by my college. I submitted my application over a month ago, and I was interviewed by the admissions committee last week. There's no longer anything I can do to influence my chance of acceptance, so why am I asking this question? The main purpose is psychological calibration. If the market says my chances of acceptance are low, I can brace myself for bad news.

I promise not to trade on this market after receiving my admissions decision.