Will the US Podium in any of these sports, whether men’s or women’s events?
1,000US Medal Status (Feb 14) — Confirmed Results
Several answers are significantly mispriced based on already-confirmed outcomes:
Confirmed US medals (should be ~99%+):
Luge (72%): Ashley Farquharson won bronze in Women's Singles (Feb 10)
Cross-Country Skiing (79%): Ben Ogden silver in Men's Sprint + Jessie Diggins bronze in Women's 10km Freestyle
Freestyle Skiing (79%): Elizabeth Lemley gold + Jaelin Kauf silver in Women's Moguls + Alex Hall silver in Men's Slopestyle
These events already happened. Medals were awarded. These should be near-certainty.
Likely overpriced:
Skeleton (61%): Men's event completed — no US medals (Austin Florian 12th). Women's final runs today at 17:00 UTC, but Mystique Ro is 17th after runs 1-2. Very unlikely to podium.
Ski Mountaineering (80%): Sprint events not until Feb 19. US qualified one male and one female but is historically not competitive in this European-dominated sport.
Total US count: 14 medals (4G, 7S, 3B). Norway leads at 18.