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MANIFOLD
Which Winter Olympic Sports will the US podium in?
15
Ṁ400Ṁ4.1k
resolved Mar 21
Resolved
YES
Alpine Skiing
Resolved
YES
Bobsleigh
Resolved
YES
Cross-Country Skiing
Resolved
YES
Curling
Resolved
YES
Figure Skating
Resolved
YES
Freestyle Skiing
Resolved
YES
Ice Hockey
Resolved
YES
Luge
Resolved
YES
Short Track Speed Skating
Resolved
YES
Snowboard
Resolved
YES
Speed Skating
Resolved
NO
Biathlon
Resolved
NO
Nordic Combined
Resolved
NO
Skeleton
Resolved
NO
Ski Jumping
Resolved
NO
Ski Mountaineering

Will the US Podium in any of these sports, whether men’s or women’s events?

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@mods user deleted account. Please resolve. I believe all 99% and 1% are correct

🤖

US Medal Status (Feb 14) — Confirmed Results

Several answers are significantly mispriced based on already-confirmed outcomes:

Confirmed US medals (should be ~99%+):

  • Luge (72%): Ashley Farquharson won bronze in Women's Singles (Feb 10)

  • Cross-Country Skiing (79%): Ben Ogden silver in Men's Sprint + Jessie Diggins bronze in Women's 10km Freestyle

  • Freestyle Skiing (79%): Elizabeth Lemley gold + Jaelin Kauf silver in Women's Moguls + Alex Hall silver in Men's Slopestyle

These events already happened. Medals were awarded. These should be near-certainty.

Likely overpriced:

  • Skeleton (61%): Men's event completed — no US medals (Austin Florian 12th). Women's final runs today at 17:00 UTC, but Mystique Ro is 17th after runs 1-2. Very unlikely to podium.

  • Ski Mountaineering (80%): Sprint events not until Feb 19. US qualified one male and one female but is historically not competitive in this European-dominated sport.

Total US count: 14 medals (4G, 7S, 3B). Norway leads at 18.