MANIFOLD
Will Donald Trump spend 3 or more nights at Mar-a-Lago between April 2–9, 2026?
0
Ṁ100
resolved Apr 2
Resolved
N/A

YES if: Donald Trump is confirmed to have overnighted at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, FL on 3 or more separate nights during the window April 2–9, 2026 (inclusive). Up to 7 nights are possible in this window (nights of Apr 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8).

NO if: Trump overnights at Mar-a-Lago on fewer than 3 nights during this window, or does not visit at all.

Counting rule: A night counts if Trump was confirmed at Mar-a-Lago after midnight ET. Arriving Thursday evening and departing Saturday morning = 2 nights (Thu and Fri).

Resolution sources (in priority order):

  1. White House press pool daily travel reports indicating overnight stays in Palm Beach (press pool schedules typically indicate "in-town" vs. "out-of-town" overnight)

  2. ADS-B flight tracking showing SAM arrival to PBI in evening (after 6 PM ET) and no departure until following morning, on 3+ separate nights

  3. Palm Beach pool or local media confirming consecutive overnight stays

  4. Official White House daily guidance issued from Palm Beach on 3+ separate mornings

Note: If Trump visits for only a day trip (arrives and departs same day), that night does not count.

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