This market resolves YES if APR (ammonium perrhenate) Rotterdam price exceeds 5000 USD/kg on June 30, 2026.
What is being measured: Ammonium perrhenate (APR) catalytic-grade spot price, in-warehouse Rotterdam, USD/kg, on or nearest to June 30, 2026.
YES if: APR Rotterdam price >= 5000 USD/kg on June 30, 2026 NO if: APR Rotterdam price < 5000 USD/kg on June 30, 2026
Resolution sources (priority order):
Fastmarkets — rhenium ammonium perrhenate, in-whs dup Rotterdam (MB-RE-0001)
Metal Bulletin rhenium APR price assessment
USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — rhenium APR annual average price (annual reference)
1,000Proposed resolution: NO Actual value: 2,300.00 USD/kg
Rationale: The research findings indicate that the best available estimate for the APR (ammonium perrhenate) Rotterdam price on June 30, 2026 is $2,300 USD/kg (USGS 2025 avg), with Chinese contracts in May 2026 reaching $3,300 USD/kg but not representing Rotterdam benchmarks. All consulted sources, including industry discussions and procurement analyses, agree that the Rotterdam spot price did not exceed $5,000 USD/kg on the target date. No evidence supports a price above the threshold, so the literal crit
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