Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Global Witness initiates a public campaign specifically addressing pollution in the Kok River by December 31, 2025. Evidence of such a campaign must be verifiable through official statements, press releases, or publications from Global Witness. If no such campaign is initiated by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".

Background

The Kok River, flowing from Myanmar into Thailand, has recently faced significant pollution issues. Reports indicate that gold mining activities in Myanmar's Shan State, particularly those operated by Chinese companies, have led to the discharge of toxic substances, including arsenic, into the river. This contamination has adversely affected communities in Thailand's Chiang Mai and Chiang Rai provinces, impacting water quality and local livelihoods. (business-humanrights.org)

Global Witness is an international NGO known for its campaigns against environmental exploitation and human rights abuses linked to natural resource extraction. As of July 14, 2025, there is no public record of Global Witness initiating a campaign specifically targeting the pollution of the Kok River.

Considerations

• The transboundary nature of the Kok River pollution involves multiple stakeholders, including the governments of Myanmar and Thailand, as well as private mining companies. This complexity may influence the decision-making process of organizations like Global Witness when considering new campaigns.

• Global Witness's campaign decisions are influenced by various factors, including resource allocation, strategic priorities, and the severity of the issue. While the Kok River pollution is a significant environmental concern, it is uncertain whether it aligns with the organization's current focus areas.