Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Friends of the Earth Thailand publicly initiates a campaign specifically targeting pollution in the Kok River by December 31, 2025. The campaign must be verifiable through official announcements, press releases, or credible news reports. If no such campaign is initiated by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".

Background

The Kok River, flowing from Myanmar's Shan State into Thailand's Chiang Mai and Chiang Rai provinces, has faced significant pollution issues. In early 2025, elevated levels of arsenic and lead were detected in the river, attributed to upstream mining activities in Myanmar. This contamination has raised health and environmental concerns among local communities. (en.wikipedia.org)

Friends of the Earth Thailand is an environmental organization known for its advocacy on various ecological issues. As of July 2025, there is no public record of the organization launching a campaign specifically addressing Kok River pollution.

Considerations

• Existing Advocacy Efforts: Other environmental groups, such as Greenpeace Thailand and Ecological Alert and Recovery – Thailand (EARTH), have been active in addressing transboundary pollution issues, including those affecting the Kok River. (greenpeace.org)

• Potential for Collaboration: Friends of the Earth Thailand may choose to collaborate with these organizations or initiate independent efforts to address the pollution concerns.

• Monitoring Official Channels: Stakeholders should monitor official communications from Friends of the Earth Thailand for any announcements related to the Kok River to determine the market's resolution.