
The bet resolves as yes if:
Official Announcement: A clear, unambiguous announcement from Russian government sources confirming the unilateral reconstitution of the government of Ukraine with self-appointed authorities, claiming that the existing authorities are unconstitutional due to the expiration of their term of office, by the end of 2024.
Actions by Russian Authorities: Verifiable evidence of significant actions by Russian authorities leading to the establishment of self-appointed authorities in Ukraine, even if the self-appointed government does not effectively govern Ukraine but is nominally established.
No:
Official Denial: A clear, unambiguous statement from Russian government sources denying any intention or plan to unilaterally reconstitute the government of Ukraine.
Lack of Significant Actions: Absence of verifiable evidence of significant actions by Russian authorities aimed at establishing self-appointed authorities in Ukraine.
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5 | Ṁ50 |