Will Russia unilaterally reconstitute own government of Ukraine with self-appointed authorities in 2024?
28
1kṀ5905
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

The bet resolves as yes if:

  1. Official Announcement: A clear, unambiguous announcement from Russian government sources confirming the unilateral reconstitution of the government of Ukraine with self-appointed authorities, claiming that the existing authorities are unconstitutional due to the expiration of their term of office, by the end of 2024.

  2. Actions by Russian Authorities: Verifiable evidence of significant actions by Russian authorities leading to the establishment of self-appointed authorities in Ukraine, even if the self-appointed government does not effectively govern Ukraine but is nominally established.

No:

  1. Official Denial: A clear, unambiguous statement from Russian government sources denying any intention or plan to unilaterally reconstitute the government of Ukraine.

  2. Lack of Significant Actions: Absence of verifiable evidence of significant actions by Russian authorities aimed at establishing self-appointed authorities in Ukraine.

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