Price based on coinmarketcap.com
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on CoinMarketCap.com reaches or exceeds $115,000 at any point between market creation and October 31, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary source for resolution will be the historical data for Bitcoin on CoinMarketCap: https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/.
Background
Bitcoin (BTC) is the world's largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, known for its volatile price movements driven by market sentiment, supply and demand, and institutional adoption. In early October 2025, Bitcoin reached new all-time highs, surpassing $126,000 according to multiple tracking sites. As of mid-October 2025, the price of Bitcoin is trading around $110,000.
Considerations
The target price of $115,000 for October 2025 is below the all-time highs Bitcoin has already registered within the same month. Resolution will depend on whether BTC re-attains or surpasses this specific value at any point during October, not solely on opening or closing prices.
1,000@MikeIz9ZE This seems like an AI assistant mistake:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on CoinMarketCap.com reaches or exceeds $115,000 at any point between October 1, 2025, and October 31, 2025, inclusive.
Later it considers:
The target price of $115,000 for October 2025 is below the all-time highs Bitcoin has already registered within the same month. Resolution will depend on whether BTC re-attains or surpasses this specific value at any point during October
Quite confusing, since it not only already got there right away on October 1st, but it also already "re-attained" it in Oct 12 after falling below 2 days before, and crossed 115k several times over a few days. Best to just say "after market creation".