Will Adeel A. Mangi be confirmed by the full U.S. Senate as a U.S. Circuit Judge for the Third Circuit Court of Appeals in New Jersey before May 1, 2024?

President Joe Biden nominated Adeel Mangi to be the first Muslim American judge on a federal appeals court. Democrats currently have a 51-49 majority (including caucusing independents) in the U.S. Senate, but Democratic Sens. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.), Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.), and Joe Manchin III (D-W.Va.) have all said they will not vote for Mangi.

If Mangi is confirmed for this judgeship by midnight ET on April 30, 2024, then the market will resolve YES.  Otherwise it will resolve NO.  If he is confirmed May 1, 2024, or later, the market will still resolve NO.  If his nomination is withdrawn, the market will resolve NO.  If no action is taken by the U.S. Senate before May 1, 2024, then the market will resolve NO.  

This market will not resolve as a percentage under any circumstances. The market creator will not trade in this market.

Background:

Ballotpedia
US Senate panel narrowly advances Muslim federal appellate court nominee
With 3rd Democratic senator opposed, Biden judicial nominee in jeopardy