If Kennedy runs as an independent against Donald Trump and Joe Biden, will he become president in 2024?
Plus
42
Ṁ7137Nov 4
1.7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For clarity, if the election has a different candidate matchup (e.g. Biden is replaced), then it resolves as N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected president, will he appoint Kennedy to a government position by the end of 2026?
80% chance
If Joe Biden becomes the Democratic nominee, will he win the 2024 election?
37% chance
Will Kennedy’s independent run hurt Biden or Trump more?
Will Robert F Kennedy Jr. win any state in the 2024 United States presidential election?
1% chance
Will Kennedy or Shanahan run for president in 2028?
Will any member of the Kennedy family, other than RFK Jr, run for POTUS between now and the 2036 election?
36% chance
Will trump run in 2024?
10% chance
Will Robert F. Kennedy become POTUS before 2029?
8% chance
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
1% chance
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
7% chance