How many people will "tune-in" to Michael's twitter space on AI Governance happening at 4pm Pacific on Jan 16 2023? (The "tune-in" number will be visible on the link after the conversation has ended).
Datapoints:
- for the first one 3.2k people tuned-in with the title "the singularity has already started", which later evolved in a debate about EA. Conversation lasted 4h. It had not been planned / announced before.
- for the second one 1.2k people tuned-in, with the title "could large language models be conscious? how would we know?". Lasted 3h48m. It had not been announced / planned before.
- for the one that is being predicted, it has been announced one day in advance and today.
Will close the market when the space starts (4pm Pacific Jan 16).
Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Michaël Trazzi
https://manifold.markets/MichaelTrazzi/how-many-people-will-tunein-to-mich