Will @Mich fully read the EA Handbook before March ? [Bet against me] [Insider tranding]
Mini
8
แน€1.2k
resolved Feb 29
Resolved
YES

Effective Altruism Handbook has been among things I "gotta read someday" for a certain amount of time.

Resolution criteria :

Effective Altruism Handbook ๐Ÿ“– refers to the series of posts available through this link at market creation : https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/handbook.

For this market to resolve YES, I must share personal notes on each and every of the 82 posts of the series - probably by sharing a link to a google doc before 1st March 2024 midnight (UTC+1), along with a screenshot similar to the one above but with all 82 posts marked as read.

Otherwise this market resolves NO.

Such notes would serve as proof for this market but are not intended as anything else - for example they are not subordinated to quality criteria.

๐ŸŒถ To spice things up a bit, questions that would allow you to refine your probability can be asked either in the comments or via direct messages (DMs).

  • For questions in comments, I will answer in comments

  • For questions via DMs, I will answer via DMs, giving a temporary insider advantage to the person asking. I will discolse information I gave them 24 to 48 hours later via description or comments. In case different people get the same information via DMs, this will be 24 to 48 hours after I answered the first one. In case I answer a DM question and get asked a similar question in comments, insider advantage may last less than 24 hours.

I will only bet YES on this market, and will not sell any YES shares I hold on this market.

Get แน€600 play money

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Disclosure :

As of Monday, 19th Feb at 9 PM UTC+1 I had read and took notes on 5 articles in total. My notes are a bit messier than I thought they would be.

Disclosure :

  • My plan initially involved reading a few articles each week, but I've been busier than planned so I actually have barely started (read and summarized 2 posts out of 82). I will be on vacation on the week of Feb 19th and my new intermediary goal is to read at least through end of section 6 before Feb 25th.

  • Saul Munn is holding me accountable.

I must provide a personal summary of each and every of the 82 posts of the series - probably by sharing a link to a google doc before 1st March 2024 midnight (UTC+1), along with a screenshot similar to the one above but with all 82 posts marked as read.

if you want an accountability buddy, iโ€™d be happy to hop on a call and chat about what youโ€™ve read each week!