@DianeLetourneur (a friend of mine - though I think our respective reputations shall more likely lead people to introduce me as a friend of hers) will soon be publishing a collection of poems that she wrote. She's using a crowdfunding system for the presales.
This market will resolve accordingly to the amount of money (in euros) collected here when the presales close. (Yeah, we're French, désolé). For reference, 1€ (euro) is rougly worth 1.1 USD.
As usual, feel free to ask any question in comments 🙂
In case the amount raised exceeds the upper bound of this market, this market will resolve to its upper bound.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ3,403 | |
| 2 | Ṁ2,464 | |
| 3 | Ṁ1,392 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1,237 | |
| 5 | Ṁ283 |
@Mich I intentionally left it for someone else to take with a thought that if noone grabs it in ~24 hours Ill grab the rest of it and then I promptly forgot about it :D
@ScipioFabius Yup that's what I mean !
(There's still a decent amount of liquidity so I may wait a few days)
@traders Not really sure which day @DianeLetourneur means by « soon », but the presales will close soon ! Now could be a good moment to refine your bets and place your orders !
If you take a closer look at this page, you can now find an excerpt of the soon-to-be-published masterpiece !
The cover is out, and the crowdfunding campaign has gone both above 100% of the objective and 1k ! Can we send this to the moon ? Bets are still open...
Not sure I’m going to send links to all of her social media accounts without asking her, but she just created a Manifold account, now she can answer too
I actually don't know exactly when they will close. I guess the true close date will mostly be Diane's decision, based on a variety of things including how well the presales are doing and how much time has already passed. December 31st was automatically selected when I clicked on "this year" for the closing date. I think it's highly unlikely (< 5%) (you're welcome to check my calibration...if you can find it...I actually can't and would like to see it...had an A score as far as I remember) that the presales don't close during 2024.
Update : the campaign is 75-days long total and started circa. 10 days ago so it should close mid/end-october.
@Mich calibration is deleted. RIP
https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-calibration-come-back-to-manif?r=S29uZ29MYW5kd2Fsa2Vy